Considering a Model for Sustainable Energy Planning Under Uncertainty

Document Type: Research Paper

Author

Babol Noshirvani University of Technology

Abstract

In this paper, real options theory is utilized to evaluate the effect of uncertain electricity and CO2 costs on speculation conduct. Methodologically, the allegiance of the newspaper in this appreciation is that uncertainty is not just stopped down as far as stochastic processes and their fluctuation, additionally as far as expected and acknowledged procedures, i.e. the procedures, which are used as a constituent of the progression system, and the processes that the speculator really confronts when picking the choices as per his ideal methodology. We utilize the components of portfolio theory and consolidate them in a vintage setting, keeping in mind the end goal to conquer the lack of it and advantage from that focal point, while as yet having the capacity to think about element portfolios. The idea is to not just discover portfolios that augment returns subject to a predefined level of danger or the other way around keeping in mind the end goal to place the ideal system of innovations at a period in time, yet to decide the ideal means of advancement of such a portfolio after some time, given changing information costs and continuous mechanical advancement and exposure about these processes. In other words, we locate the ideal portfolio over advancements, as well as crosswise over time and quality.

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